Football · China FA Cup · 21/07, 09:00
Prediction: Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Shanghai Shenhua1.96
Qingdao Hainiu1.19
1X2
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw
Qingdao Hainiu
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Shenhua
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Qingdao Hainiu
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Shenhua
6–0
Qingdao Hainiu
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Shenhua (rating 1540 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Shanghai Shenhua: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Shenhua | Qingdao Hainiu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.9 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Shenhua 6–0–0 Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 23/08/25 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 16/04/25 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 28/09/24 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 15/05/24 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 07/11/23 China FA Cup | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Shenhua | Qingdao Hainiu |
|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Yunnan Yukun | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Shenhua win (54%). Probabilities: Shanghai Shenhua 54%, draw 24%, Qingdao Hainiu 22%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Shanghai Shenhua 1.96 · Qingdao Hainiu 1.19), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.