Football · China FA Cup · 22/07, 14:00

Prediction: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shaanxi Union

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.72
Shaanxi Union1.37
1X2
19% 29% 52%
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Draw Shaanxi Union
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDDDDDLD
Shaanxi Union 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWDLWWL
Head-to-head
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0–2 Shaanxi Union (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1492 · Shaanxi Union 1529
Lanzhou Longyuan AthleticDrawShaanxi Union
Our model19%30%51%
Market20%28%52%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Shaanxi Union: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lanzhou Longyuan AthleticShaanxi Union
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 0.61.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.72.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.13.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 002 Shaanxi Union

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/07/24
China Division 2
Shaanxi Union3-0
HT 0-0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
11/05/24
China Division 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0-1
HT 0-1
Shaanxi Union

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

WWLDDDDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 22 D
04/07 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-2 1-3 63 L
27/06 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 53 D
23/06 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 85 D
19/06 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
China FA Cup
1-1 1-1 103 D
13/06 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 63 D
05/06 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 82 D
26/05 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 42 L
16/05 Meizhou Hakka
China FA Cup
2-0 2-1 63 W
10/05 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 24 W

Shaanxi Union

DWWLWDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-0 0-3 33 L
11/07 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
1-0 4-0 51 W
04/07 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
0-0 2-1 103 W
27/06 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
1-1 1-2 02 L
19/06 Zhejiang
China FA Cup
1-0 1-1 13 D
14/06 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
2-0 5-0 37 W
29/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 44 L
24/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
1-0 3-0 33 W
15/05 Shenzhen 2028
China FA Cup
2-0 2-0 77 W
10/05 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 40 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shaanxi Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shaanxi Union win (52%). Probabilities: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 19%, draw 29%, Shaanxi Union 52%.

How many goals are expected in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shaanxi Union?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.72 · Shaanxi Union 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shaanxi Union?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.