Football · China FA Cup · 21/07, 09:00
Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Wuhan Three Towns1.6
Shandong Taishan2
1X2
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw
Shandong Taishan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Three Towns
0-7-3 (W-D-L)
Shandong Taishan
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns
0–2–4
Shandong Taishan
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan (rating 1431 vs 1546).
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 2.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 0.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns 0–2–4 Shandong Taishan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 22/11/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Shandong Taishan |
| 25/06/25 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 21/09/24 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 11/05/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Shandong Taishan |
| 29/09/23 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns | Shandong Taishan |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Liaoning Ironman | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Shandong Taishan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shandong Taishan win (46%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 30%, draw 23%, Shandong Taishan 46%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Wuhan Three Towns 1.6 · Shandong Taishan 2), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.