Football · China FA Cup · 21/07, 09:00
Prediction: Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Yunnan Yukun1.41
Chengdu Rongcheng1.87
1X2
Yunnan Yukun
Draw
Chengdu Rongcheng
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yunnan Yukun
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Chengdu Rongcheng
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yunnan Yukun
0–1–2
Chengdu Rongcheng
(3 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengdu Rongcheng (rating 1469 vs 1593).
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yunnan Yukun | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 3.9 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunnan Yukun 0–1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 23/08/25 China Super League | Yunnan Yukun | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 16/04/25 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Yunnan Yukun |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yunnan Yukun | Chengdu Rongcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Henan | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chengdu Rongcheng (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunnan Yukun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China FA Cup |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Zetian China FA Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 15/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chengdu Rongcheng win (47%). Probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 28%, draw 24%, Chengdu Rongcheng 47%.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Yunnan Yukun 1.41 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1.87), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.