Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 18/10, 12:00
Prediction: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs LNZ Lebedyn
Team pages: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih · LNZ Lebedyn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih0.89
LNZ Lebedyn1.47
1X2
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Draw
LNZ Lebedyn
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LNZ Lebedyn
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
3–2–1
LNZ Lebedyn
(6 last)
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih0-3LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn0-0FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
- LNZ Lebedyn0-0FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih3-1LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn0-3FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2-0LNZ Lebedyn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1495 · LNZ Lebedyn 1516
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | Draw | LNZ Lebedyn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 28% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | LNZ Lebedyn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 3–2–1 LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 0-3 HT 0-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 28/09/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
| 26/04/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
| 26/10/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 3-1 HT 1-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 23/02/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
| 13/08/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2-0 HT 1-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
| 2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kiev | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty Lviv | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | LNZ Lebedyn | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Veres Rivne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Livyi Bereh | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Obolon Kyiv | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Odessa | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Kudrivka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | LNZ Lebedyn |
|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets Odessa | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Karpaty Lviv | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Veres Rivne | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 30/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/08 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs LNZ Lebedyn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an LNZ Lebedyn win (50%). Probabilities: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 22%, draw 28%, LNZ Lebedyn 50%.
How many goals are expected in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs LNZ Lebedyn?
The model expects 2.36 goals (FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 0.89 · LNZ Lebedyn 1.47), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs LNZ Lebedyn?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.