Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs FC Kharkiv

Team pages: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi · FC Kharkiv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0.9

FC Kharkiv1.57

1X2

21% 26% 53%

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Draw FC Kharkiv

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Kharkiv 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 2–2–1 FC Kharkiv (5 last)

FC Kharkiv1-1Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0-0FC Kharkiv
FC Kharkiv1-3Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi2-1FC Kharkiv
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0-1FC Kharkiv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 1497 · FC Kharkiv 1580

	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	Draw	FC Kharkiv
Our model	20%	28%	52%
Market	22%	25%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kharkiv (rating 1497 vs 1580).
H2H favours Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	FC Kharkiv
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	3.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
X	3.70 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	1.55 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 13%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +5’	5.00	3.70	1.55
17:02 +12’	4.10▼	3.50▼	1.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 2–2–1 FC Kharkiv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kharkiv	1-1 HT 1-0	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
30/11/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kharkiv
17/05/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	FC Kharkiv	1-3 HT 1-2	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
19/04/25 Ukraine Persha Liga	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Kharkiv
23/09/21 Ukraine Cup	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Kharkiv

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	9	8	0	1	20	5	24
2	Polissya Zhytomyr	9	7	1	1	20	8	22
3	FC Kharkiv	8	6	0	2	16	6	18
4	Dynamo Kiev	8	5	1	2	11	8	16
5	Karpaty Lviv	9	4	3	2	17	8	15
6	LNZ Lebedyn	9	4	2	3	10	9	14
7	FC Zorya Lugansk	9	4	2	3	12	13	14
8	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	9	2	3	4	9	12	9
9	FC Veres Rivne	9	2	3	4	6	11	9
10	Kolos Kovalivka	8	2	2	4	10	13	8
11	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
12	FC Livyi Bereh	8	1	4	3	6	8	7
13	Obolon Kyiv	8	1	4	3	4	12	7
14	Chernomorets Odessa	8	1	2	5	5	11	5
15	FC Kudrivka	9	1	2	6	10	21	5
16	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	7	1	2	4	7	13	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	FC Kharkiv
FC Livyi Bereh	0-2 L	2-1 W
Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0-0 D	2-0 W
FC Veres Rivne	0-0 D	1-0 W
Shakhtar Donetsk	0-2 L	0-1 L
Obolon Kyiv	3-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kharkiv (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-1	2-2	1	3	D
10/10	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-3	1	1	L
19/09	FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
14/09	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
06/09	Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
29/08	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
14/08	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
09/08	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
02/08	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	3-0	6	1	W
23/05	SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

FC Kharkiv

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
10/10	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
19/09	Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
06/09	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	5-0	5-0	7	6	W
31/08	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
16/08	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
10/08	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
01/08	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	10	11	W
16/05	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-1	4	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs FC Kharkiv?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kharkiv win (53%). Probabilities: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 21%, draw 26%, FC Kharkiv 53%.

How many goals are expected in Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs FC Kharkiv?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 0.9 · FC Kharkiv 1.57), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs FC Kharkiv?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.