Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 23/10, 12:00
Prediction: Polissya Zhytomyr vs Obolon Kyiv
Team pages: Polissya Zhytomyr · Obolon Kyiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Polissya Zhytomyr2.25
Obolon Kyiv0.69
1X2
Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw
Obolon Kyiv
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Polissya Zhytomyr
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Obolon Kyiv
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polissya Zhytomyr
4–1–1
Obolon Kyiv
(6 last)
- Polissya Zhytomyr3-1Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv0-4Polissya Zhytomyr
- Obolon Kyiv0-0Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr4-0Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv1-0Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr2-0Obolon Kyiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polissya Zhytomyr 1622 · Obolon Kyiv 1455
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polissya Zhytomyr (rating 1622 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Polissya Zhytomyr: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polissya Zhytomyr 4–1–1 Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 25/10/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 28/02/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 25/08/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 16/03/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 02/09/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
| 2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Kharkiv | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Karpaty Lviv | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | LNZ Lebedyn | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 8 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Veres Rivne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 11 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Livyi Bereh | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Obolon Kyiv | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Odessa | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Kudrivka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Polissya Zhytomyr | Obolon Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Kudrivka | 5-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Kharkiv | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Chernomorets Odessa | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Polissya Zhytomyr (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polissya Zhytomyr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | D |
| 18/09 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 12/09 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-5 | 0-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polissya Zhytomyr vs Obolon Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Polissya Zhytomyr win (72%). Probabilities: Polissya Zhytomyr 72%, draw 19%, Obolon Kyiv 9%.
How many goals are expected in Polissya Zhytomyr vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Polissya Zhytomyr 2.25 · Obolon Kyiv 0.69), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Polissya Zhytomyr vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.