Football · Sweden Superettan · 21/07, 19:00
Prediction: Falkenbergs FF vs Helsingborg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Falkenbergs FF2.02
Helsingborg1.43
1X2
Falkenbergs FF
Draw
Helsingborg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Falkenbergs FF
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Helsingborg
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Falkenbergs FF
0–3–3
Helsingborg
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Falkenbergs FF 1538 · Helsingborg 1473
| Falkenbergs FF | Draw | Helsingborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Falkenbergs FF (rating 1538 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Helsingborg: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falkenbergs FF | Helsingborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkenbergs FF 0–3–3 Helsingborg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 Sweden Superettan | Helsingborg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Falkenbergs FF |
| 14/06/25 Sweden Superettan | Falkenbergs FF | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Helsingborg |
| 16/03/25 Europe Friendlies | Helsingborg | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Falkenbergs FF |
| 19/10/21 Sweden Superettan | Falkenbergs FF | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Helsingborg |
| 27/07/21 Sweden Superettan | Helsingborg | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Falkenbergs FF |
| 29/11/20 Sweden Allsvenskan | Helsingborg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Falkenbergs FF |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkenbergs FF | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | IFK Norrkoping | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Landskrona BoIS | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | Ostersunds FK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Nordic United FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | IK Oddevold | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 20 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
| 9 | Helsingborg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Sandvikens IF | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 19 |
| 11 | IK Brage | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 10 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Falkenbergs FF | Helsingborg |
|---|---|---|
| Landskrona BoIS | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Orebro SK | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Sandvikens IF | 2-4 L | 2-4 L |
| IK Oddevold | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| IFK Varnamo | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Falkenbergs FF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falkenbergs FF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Landskrona BoIS Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/06 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Helsingborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | AB Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 16/06 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/05 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falkenbergs FF vs Helsingborg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Falkenbergs FF win (50%). Probabilities: Falkenbergs FF 50%, draw 24%, Helsingborg 26%.
How many goals are expected in Falkenbergs FF vs Helsingborg?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Falkenbergs FF 2.02 · Helsingborg 1.43), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Falkenbergs FF vs Helsingborg?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.