Football · Sweden Superettan · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: IK Oddevold vs Norrby IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

IK Oddevold1.86

Norrby IF1.08

1X2

54% 25% 21%

IK Oddevold Draw Norrby IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IK Oddevold 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLLWDDL

Norrby IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDWLWD

Head-to-head

IK Oddevold 3–2–1 Norrby IF (6 last)

Norrby IF0-2IK Oddevold
Norrby IF1-1IK Oddevold
IK Oddevold3-2Norrby IF
Norrby IF0-2IK Oddevold
Norrby IF2-2IK Oddevold
IK Oddevold2-3Norrby IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Oddevold 1501 · Norrby IF 1495

	IK Oddevold	Draw	Norrby IF
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IK Oddevold: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Oddevold	Norrby IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	3.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +1’	1.65	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Oddevold 3–2–1 Norrby IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden Superettan	Norrby IF	0-2 HT 0-0	IK Oddevold
23/03/24 Club Friendly List	Norrby IF	1-1 HT 0-1	IK Oddevold
14/10/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	IK Oddevold	3-2 HT 1-0	Norrby IF
12/05/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Norrby IF	0-2 HT 0-0	IK Oddevold
16/08/16 Sweden 1.div Södra	Norrby IF	2-2 HT 0-0	IK Oddevold
11/07/16 Sweden 1.div Södra	IK Oddevold	2-3 HT 0-2	Norrby IF

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Falkenbergs FF	16	9	4	3	32	24	31
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	15	9	3	3	32	19	30
3	IFK Norrkoping	15	9	2	4	26	10	29
4	Ostersunds FK	16	7	5	4	26	21	26
5	Landskrona BoIS	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	Nordic United FC	15	7	4	4	25	22	25
7	Osters IF	15	7	2	6	24	25	23
8	Helsingborg	15	7	2	6	29	31	23
9	Ljungskile	16	6	4	6	23	21	22
10	IK Oddevold	15	5	5	5	28	26	20
11	Sandvikens IF	16	5	4	7	25	25	19
12	Norrby IF	16	3	9	4	21	23	18
13	IK Brage	16	4	5	7	28	29	17
14	Orebro SK	15	3	5	7	13	22	14
15	IFK Varnamo	16	3	2	11	17	34	11
16	GIF Sundsvall	16	3	0	13	13	36	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Oddevold	Norrby IF
Varbergs BoIS FC	2-4 L	2-4 L
Nordic United FC	3-3 D	0-0 D
Ljungskile	0-0 D	2-1 W
IFK Norrkoping	1-2 L	1-0 W
Ostersunds FK	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Norrby IF (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IK Oddevold

DDWWLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-4	5	2	L
27/06	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-2	3-3	4	1	D
22/06	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
14/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	8	7	W
09/06	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
30/05	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-2	8	0	L
23/05	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
18/05	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
13/05	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
09/05	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	4	2	D

Norrby IF

DWLLLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
20/07	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	3-1	7	1	W
11/07	Varbergs BoIS FC Club Friendly List	2-0	2-4	–	–	L
28/06	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
21/06	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
14/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
10/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
30/05	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-2	6	1	L
23/05	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
17/05	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-2	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Oddevold vs Norrby IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Oddevold win (54%). Probabilities: IK Oddevold 54%, draw 25%, Norrby IF 21%.

How many goals are expected in IK Oddevold vs Norrby IF?

The model expects 2.94 goals (IK Oddevold 1.86 · Norrby IF 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Oddevold vs Norrby IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.