Prediction: Fernando de la Mora vs 3 de Noviembre
Expected goals: 2.24 (Fernando de la Mora 1.26 · 3 de Noviembre 0.98). The model gives 42% home, 29% draw, 28% away. Over 2 goals (54%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Fernando de la Mora is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and 3 de Noviembre 0-5-5 over its own.
| Fernando de la Mora | Draw | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fernando de la Mora (rating 1486 vs 1440).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fernando de la Mora | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 3.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.6 | 6.4 / 0.5 |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 24 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Deportivo Capiata | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportivo Santaní | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Independiente FBC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | Guairena FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 9 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fernando de la Mora | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| General Caballero JLM | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Guairena FC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Resistencia FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Sol de America | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Capiata | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente FBC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Tacuary | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 4 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Fernando de la Mora (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fernando de la Mora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
3 de Noviembre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/06 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/06 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 27/04 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fernando de la Mora vs 3 de Noviembre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fernando de la Mora win (42%). Probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 42%, draw 29%, 3 de Noviembre 28%.
How many goals are expected in Fernando de la Mora vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Fernando de la Mora 1.26 · 3 de Noviembre 0.98), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.