Football · Austria Cup · 24/07, 19:30
Prediction: Union Gurten vs FC Blau Weiss Linz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Union Gurten0.98
FC Blau Weiss Linz1.8
1X2
Union Gurten
Draw
FC Blau Weiss Linz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union Gurten
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
FC Blau Weiss Linz
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Gurten
2–1–3
FC Blau Weiss Linz
(6 last)
- Union Gurten0-2FC Blau Weiss Linz
- FC Blau Weiss Linz0-0Union Gurten
- Union Gurten1-4FC Blau Weiss Linz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Gurten 1582 · FC Blau Weiss Linz 1540
| Union Gurten | Draw | FC Blau Weiss Linz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 25% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 22% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Gurten (rating 1582 vs 1540).
- H2H favours FC Blau Weiss Linz: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Gurten | FC Blau Weiss Linz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 2.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 2.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Gurten 2–1–3 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/24 Club Friendly List | Union Gurten | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Blau Weiss Linz |
| 03/02/17 Europe Friendlies | FC Blau Weiss Linz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Gurten |
| 09/04/16 Austria Regionalliga Mitte | Union Gurten | 1-4 HT 1-0 | FC Blau Weiss Linz |
| 04/09/15 Austria Regionalliga Mitte | FC Blau Weiss Linz | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Union Gurten |
| 11/04/15 Austria Regionalliga Mitte | Union Gurten | 4-2 HT 1-1 | FC Blau Weiss Linz |
| 12/09/14 Austria Regionalliga Mitte | FC Blau Weiss Linz | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Gurten |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Gurten
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Askoe Oedt Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Junge Wikinger Ried Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | St. Anna am Aigen Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | ASK Voitsberg Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 03/04 | WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
FC Blau Weiss Linz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Eintracht Braunschweig Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | SPG Pregarten Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Puskas Academy Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | SC Wiener Viktoria Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Crvena Zvezda Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | SPG Wilhering/Muhlbach Club Friendly List |
9-0 | 15-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Gurten vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Blau Weiss Linz win (56%). Probabilities: Union Gurten 20%, draw 24%, FC Blau Weiss Linz 56%.
How many goals are expected in Union Gurten vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Union Gurten 0.98 · FC Blau Weiss Linz 1.8), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Gurten vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.