Football · Poland II Liga · 09/10, 15:30

Prediction: Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Team pages: Rekord Bielsko-Biala · Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.3

Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.34

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala Draw Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLWWWL

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWLWDL

Head-to-head

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0–1–2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz (3 last)

Sandecja Nowy Sacz3-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1509 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1510

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Draw	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Our model	35%	29%	36%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandecja Nowy Sacz: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +6’	2.50	3.40	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0–1–2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/08/26 Poland Cup	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	3-0 HT 1-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
18/03/26 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-1 HT 1-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
09/08/25 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	1-0 HT 1-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	7	2	1	23	12	23
2	Gornik Leczna	10	6	2	2	21	10	20
3	GKS Tychy 71	10	5	5	0	14	6	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20	18	17
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	10	5	1	4	15	11	16
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	10	4	3	3	20	16	15
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
9	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	10	4	3	3	13	16	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	10	4	2	4	17	17	14
12	Avia Swidnik	10	3	2	5	13	17	11
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	10	3	1	6	16	21	10
14	Legia Warsaw II	9	3	0	6	18	17	9
15	Slask Wroclaw II	9	3	0	6	15	17	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	10	1	5	4	11	23	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	10	2	2	6	11	24	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	10	0	4	6	7	19	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Podhale Nowy Targ	1-2 L	1-2 L
OKS Swit Skolwin	3-0 W	1-0 W
Avia Swidnik	1-0 W	0-3 L
Gornik Leczna	0-1 L	1-1 D
Lechia Zielona Góra	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rekord Bielsko-Biala (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

DWWLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
18/09	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
13/09	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/09	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
30/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
23/08	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
15/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-3	0-3	6	4	L
08/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
02/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	3-0	7	1	W
25/07	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	2	0	D

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

DWLWDWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
20/09	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	4-2	5	3	W
05/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
28/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
21/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
15/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	11	0	L
02/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	1	8	W
25/07	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sandecja Nowy Sacz win (37%). Probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biala 36%, draw 27%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 37%.

How many goals are expected in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.3 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.34), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.