Football · Poland II Liga · 20/09, 12:00

Prediction: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Resovia Rzeszow

Team pages: Stal Stalowa Wola · Resovia Rzeszow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Stal Stalowa Wola1.76

Resovia Rzeszow1.26

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Stal Stalowa Wola Draw Resovia Rzeszow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Stalowa Wola 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWLLDL

Resovia Rzeszow 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDDLDL

Head-to-head

Stal Stalowa Wola 1–3–2 Resovia Rzeszow (6 last)

Resovia Rzeszow2-2Stal Stalowa Wola
Stal Stalowa Wola1-1Resovia Rzeszow
Stal Stalowa Wola3-3Resovia Rzeszow
Stal Stalowa Wola2-1Resovia Rzeszow
Stal Stalowa Wola1-3Resovia Rzeszow
Stal Stalowa Wola4-5Resovia Rzeszow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stal Stalowa Wola 1474 · Resovia Rzeszow 1430

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Draw	Resovia Rzeszow
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	48%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stal Stalowa Wola (rating 1474 vs 1430).
H2H favours Resovia Rzeszow: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Resovia Rzeszow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.3	3.5 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 07:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.50
2	2.88 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.61 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +9’	2.15	3.40	2.88
17:09 +5’	1.95▼	3.50▲	3.30▲
05:13 +11’	1.95	3.40▼	3.30
07:05 +3’	1.90▼	3.40	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:27 +30’	2.13	3.47	3.00
16:52 +23’	2.02▼	3.42▼	3.27▲
06:54 +14’	1.88▼	3.50▲	3.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Stalowa Wola 1–3–2 Resovia Rzeszow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	2-2 HT 1-1	Stal Stalowa Wola
31/10/25 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	1-1 HT 0-0	Resovia Rzeszow
05/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Stal Stalowa Wola	3-3 HT 1-1	Resovia Rzeszow
31/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Stal Stalowa Wola	2-1 HT 1-0	Resovia Rzeszow
29/06/24 Europe Friendlies	Stal Stalowa Wola	1-3 HT 1-1	Resovia Rzeszow
15/07/23 Club Friendly List	Stal Stalowa Wola	4-5 HT 3-2	Resovia Rzeszow

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Leczna	9	5	2	2	18	9	17
2	Znicz Pruszków	8	5	2	1	16	9	17
3	GKS Tychy 71	8	4	4	0	12	6	16
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	9	4	4	1	16	11	16
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	9	5	1	3	14	9	16
6	Hutnik Krakow	8	4	3	1	16	9	15
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	8	4	2	2	13	8	14
8	Podhale Nowy Targ	8	4	2	2	18	14	14
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	8	3	3	2	16	12	12
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	8	3	3	2	10	12	12
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
12	Avia Swidnik	9	3	1	5	12	16	10
13	Sokol Kleczew	9	1	5	3	10	21	8
14	Stal Stalowa Wola	8	2	1	5	12	17	7
15	Legia Warsaw II	8	2	0	6	15	17	6
16	Slask Wroclaw II	8	2	0	6	13	17	6
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	9	1	2	6	9	23	5
18	Resovia Rzeszow	8	0	3	5	6	16	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Stalowa Wola	Resovia Rzeszow
Podhale Nowy Targ	0-5 L	1-1 D
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3-3 D	0-1 L
Chojniczanka Chojnice	0-2 L	2-2 D
GKS Tychy 71	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Resovia Rzeszow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Stalowa Wola

DWWLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-3	0-5	6	3	L
04/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
29/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	1-2	9	3	L
21/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
16/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
31/07	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/07	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
30/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
15/05	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	6	6	D

Resovia Rzeszow

DDLLLDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
28/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
22/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
08/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
01/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-3	1-5	7	1	L
24/07	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
30/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	8	9	D
23/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	7	12	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Resovia Rzeszow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stal Stalowa Wola win (48%). Probabilities: Stal Stalowa Wola 48%, draw 26%, Resovia Rzeszow 26%.

How many goals are expected in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Stal Stalowa Wola 1.76 · Resovia Rzeszow 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.