Football · Poland II Liga · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: Lechia Zielona Góra · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Lechia Zielona Góra1.47
Olimpia Grudziadz1.64
1X2
33% 27% 40%
Lechia Zielona Góra Draw Olimpia Grudziadz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lechia Zielona Góra 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLLWD
Olimpia Grudziadz 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lechia Zielona Góra 1559 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1556
Lechia Zielona GóraDrawOlimpia Grudziadz
Our model33%26%41%
Market33%28%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lechia Zielona GóraOlimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.32.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.51.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.63 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.33.9 / 0

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Avia Swidnik 1100 413
2 Podhale Nowy Targ 1100 313
3 Stal Stalowa Wola 1100 203
4 Gornik Leczna 1100 323
5 GKS Tychy 71 1100 103
5 Znicz Pruszków 1100 103
7 Lechia Zielona Góra 1010 111
7 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1010 111
7 Sokol Kleczew 1010 111
7 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1010 111
11 Hutnik Krakow 1010 001
11 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1010 001
13 OKS Swit Skolwin 1001 230
14 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1001 010
14 Resovia Rzeszow 1001 010
16 Slask Wroclaw II 1001 130
17 Legia Warsaw II 1001 020
18 Olimpia Grudziadz 1001 140

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lechia Zielona Góra

WWWWWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-1 50 D
18/07 Warta Poznan
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 90 W
08/07 Slask Wroclaw
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-6 L
01/07 Chrobry Glogow
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-3 L
30/05 Gornik Polkowice
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 57 W
23/05 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Poland III Liga
0-0 4-0 43 W
16/05 LZS Starowice Dolne
Poland III Liga
2-1 5-1 83 W
13/05 Polonia Nysa
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 93 W
09/05 Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-0 W
01/05 Gornik Zabrze II
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 63 W

Olimpia Grudziadz

DWWDWLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Avia Swidnik
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-4 75 L
11/07 Arka Gdynia
Europe Friendlies
4-1 4-2 32 W
04/07 Lechia Gdansk
Europe Friendlies
3-1 3-1 42 W
30/06 Petrolul Ploiesti
Europe Friendlies
4-1 4-1 14 W
02/06 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland League II Play-Offs
0-0 1-2 72 L
30/05 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-0 85 W
24/05 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
2-1 2-2 58 D
17/05 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
3-0 3-1 65 W
09/05 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
0-0 2-0 62 W
03/05 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Grudziadz win (40%). Probabilities: Lechia Zielona Góra 33%, draw 27%, Olimpia Grudziadz 40%.

How many goals are expected in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Lechia Zielona Góra 1.47 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.64), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.