Football · Poland II Liga · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków

Team pages: Chojniczanka Chojnice · Znicz Pruszków

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.68

Znicz Pruszków1.57

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Chojniczanka Chojnice Draw Znicz Pruszków

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Chojniczanka Chojnice 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLWLLL

Znicz Pruszków 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Chojniczanka Chojnice 4–1–1 Znicz Pruszków (6 last)

Chojniczanka Chojnice3-2Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków0-1Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice1-2Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków0-2Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-0Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków3-3Chojniczanka Chojnice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1476 · Znicz Pruszków 1520

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Draw	Znicz Pruszków
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Znicz Pruszków (rating 1476 vs 1520).
H2H favours Chojniczanka Chojnice: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Znicz Pruszków
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.38
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.77 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +6’	2.25	3.50	2.60
20:53 +2’	2.38▲	3.50	2.45▼
00:12 +2’	2.63▲	3.60▲	2.20▼
13:25 +8’	2.25▼	3.50▼	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +1’	2.79	3.30	2.32
13:30 +2’	2.37▼	3.22▼	2.78▲
06:59 +1’	2.38▲	3.23▲	2.77▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chojniczanka Chojnice 4–1–1 Znicz Pruszków

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/24 Poland Cup	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3-2 HT 1-2	Znicz Pruszków
13/03/22 Poland II Liga	Znicz Pruszków	0-1 HT 0-1	Chojniczanka Chojnice
28/08/21 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-2 HT 1-0	Znicz Pruszków
17/03/21 Poland II Liga	Znicz Pruszków	0-2 HT 0-1	Chojniczanka Chojnice
12/09/20 Poland II Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-0 HT 1-0	Znicz Pruszków
10/03/17 Poland I Liga	Znicz Pruszków	3-3 HT 1-1	Chojniczanka Chojnice

Standings · Poland II Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	GKS Tychy 71	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
2	Znicz Pruszków	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
4	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
5	Hutnik Krakow	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
8	Slask Wroclaw II	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
9	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
10	Gornik Leczna	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
12	Sokol Kleczew	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	Olimpia Grudziadz	2	0	1	1	3	6	1
14	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
15	Legia Warsaw II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	OKS Swit Skolwin	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
17	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
18	Resovia Rzeszow	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chojniczanka Chojnice

DLWWWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland Cup	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
02/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	7	8	L
26/07	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
07/07	Olimpia Elblag Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/07	Petrolul Ploiesti Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
30/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	2-0	2-0	0	2	W
22/05	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	1-1	3-2	9	8	W
16/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	3-0	3-1	8	4	W
09/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
03/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	5	4	D

Znicz Pruszków

DDLLLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	LKS Lodz II Poland Cup	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
31/07	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	14	3	W
24/07	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	11	5	W
27/06	Polonia Warsaw Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-2	1	5	W
24/05	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
16/05	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
09/05	Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
01/05	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
24/04	Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
18/04	Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga	2-1	2-2	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chojniczanka Chojnice win (40%). Probabilities: Chojniczanka Chojnice 40%, draw 25%, Znicz Pruszków 35%.

How many goals are expected in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.68 · Znicz Pruszków 1.57), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.