Football · Poland II Liga · 08/08, 20:00

Prediction: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Sokol Kleczew

Team pages: Lechia Zielona Góra · Sokol Kleczew

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Lechia Zielona Góra1.75
Sokol Kleczew1.36
1X2
46% 25% 29%
Lechia Zielona Góra Draw Sokol Kleczew
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lechia Zielona Góra 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLWDDD
Sokol Kleczew 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLWWDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lechia Zielona Góra 1539 · Sokol Kleczew 1455
Lechia Zielona GóraDrawSokol Kleczew
Our model46%25%29%
Market46%25%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lechia Zielona Góra (rating 1539 vs 1455).
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lechia Zielona GóraSokol Kleczew
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.71.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 7.31.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.33.6 / 0.1

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Avia Swidnik 2200 516
2 GKS Tychy 71 2200 316
2 Znicz Pruszków 2200 316
4 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 2110 414
5 Hutnik Krakow 2110 304
5 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2110 304
7 Podhale Nowy Targ 2110 314
8 Slask Wroclaw II 2101 643
9 Stal Stalowa Wola 2101 323
10 Gornik Leczna 2101 333
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 2020 332
12 Sokol Kleczew 2020 112
13 Olimpia Grudziadz 2011 361
14 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2011 141
15 Legia Warsaw II 2002 140
16 OKS Swit Skolwin 2002 260
17 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2002 040
18 Resovia Rzeszow 2002 160

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lechia Zielona Góra

WWWWLLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 96 D
01/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 96 D
25/07 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-1 50 D
18/07 Warta Poznan
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 90 W
08/07 Slask Wroclaw
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-6 L
01/07 Chrobry Glogow
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-3 L
30/05 Gornik Polkowice
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 57 W
23/05 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Poland III Liga
0-0 4-0 43 W
16/05 LZS Starowice Dolne
Poland III Liga
2-1 5-1 83 W
13/05 Polonia Nysa
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 93 W

Sokol Kleczew

LLLLWLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-1 54 D
17/07 Unia Swarzedz
Europe Friendlies
3-0 7-1 81 W
09/06 Gornik Polkowice
Poland League II Play-Offs
0-0 2-1 66 W
06/06 Gornik Polkowice
Poland League II Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 22 L
30/05 LKS Lodz II
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-1 54 W
23/05 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-1 2-5 35 L
16/05 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Poland II Liga
0-2 0-3 33 L
08/05 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-3 44 L
01/05 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-2 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Sokol Kleczew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lechia Zielona Góra win (46%). Probabilities: Lechia Zielona Góra 46%, draw 25%, Sokol Kleczew 29%.

How many goals are expected in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Lechia Zielona Góra 1.75 · Sokol Kleczew 1.36), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.