Football · Poland II Liga · 09/08, 14:30
Prediction: Avia Swidnik vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Team pages: Avia Swidnik · Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Avia Swidnik1.55
Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.44
1X2
Avia Swidnik
Draw
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Avia Swidnik
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avia Swidnik
1–1
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
(2 last)
- Avia Swidnik3-0Sandecja Nowy Sacz
- Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-0Avia Swidnik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Avia Swidnik 1602 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1523
| Avia Swidnik | Draw | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avia Swidnik (rating 1602 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avia Swidnik | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avia Swidnik 1–0–1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/25 Poland III Liga | Avia Swidnik | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz |
| 16/11/24 Poland III Liga | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Avia Swidnik |
Standings · Poland II Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | GKS Tychy 71 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Znicz Pruszków | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Hutnik Krakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Gornik Leczna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Sokol Kleczew | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Olimpia Grudziadz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 14 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Legia Warsaw II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | OKS Swit Skolwin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avia Swidnik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Stal Mielec Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 25/07 | Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Wislok Wisniowa Europe Friendlies |
0-4 | 1-10 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/06 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland League II Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Warta Poznan Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avia Swidnik vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avia Swidnik win (39%). Probabilities: Avia Swidnik 39%, draw 26%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 35%.
How many goals are expected in Avia Swidnik vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Avia Swidnik 1.55 · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.44), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Avia Swidnik vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.