Football · Poland II Liga · 16/08, 12:00
Prediction: Znicz Pruszków vs Olimpia Grudziadz
Team pages: Znicz Pruszków · Olimpia Grudziadz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Znicz Pruszków1.82
Olimpia Grudziadz1.75
1X2
Znicz Pruszków
Draw
Olimpia Grudziadz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Znicz Pruszków
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Olimpia Grudziadz
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Znicz Pruszków
2–2–2
Olimpia Grudziadz
(6 last)
- Znicz Pruszków2-0Olimpia Grudziadz
- Olimpia Grudziadz1-1Znicz Pruszków
- Znicz Pruszków2-1Olimpia Grudziadz
- Olimpia Grudziadz1-1Znicz Pruszków
- Znicz Pruszków0-1Olimpia Grudziadz
- Olimpia Grudziadz1-0Znicz Pruszków
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Znicz Pruszków 1537 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1540
| Znicz Pruszków | Draw | Olimpia Grudziadz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Znicz Pruszków | Olimpia Grudziadz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Znicz Pruszków 2–2–2 Olimpia Grudziadz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/21 Poland II Liga | Znicz Pruszków | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Olimpia Grudziadz |
| 10/11/20 Poland II Liga | Olimpia Grudziadz | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Znicz Pruszków |
| 12/04/19 Poland II Liga | Znicz Pruszków | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Olimpia Grudziadz |
| 21/09/18 Poland II Liga | Olimpia Grudziadz | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Znicz Pruszków |
| 04/06/17 Poland I Liga | Znicz Pruszków | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Grudziadz |
| 15/03/17 Poland I Liga | Olimpia Grudziadz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Znicz Pruszków |
Standings · Poland II Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Znicz Pruszków | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Hutnik Krakow | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | GKS Tychy 71 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gornik Leczna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | Legia Warsaw II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Olimpia Grudziadz | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Sokol Kleczew | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 | Resovia Rzeszow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | OKS Swit Skolwin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Znicz Pruszków
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | LKS Lodz II Poland Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Polonia Warsaw Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Olimpia Grudziadz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/08 | OKS Swit Skolwin Poland Cup |
0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Arka Gdynia Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Lechia Gdansk Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Petrolul Ploiesti Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/06 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland League II Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Znicz Pruszków vs Olimpia Grudziadz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Znicz Pruszków win (39%). Probabilities: Znicz Pruszków 39%, draw 25%, Olimpia Grudziadz 36%.
How many goals are expected in Znicz Pruszków vs Olimpia Grudziadz?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Znicz Pruszków 1.82 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.75), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Znicz Pruszków vs Olimpia Grudziadz?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.