Football · Poland II Liga · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Sokol Kleczew vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Team pages: Sokol Kleczew · Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Sokol Kleczew1.3

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.42

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Sokol Kleczew Draw Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Kleczew 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWDDDL

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWDWLW

Head-to-head

Sokol Kleczew 0–2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (2 last)

Sokol Kleczew0-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala2-1Sokol Kleczew

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Kleczew 1460 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1531

	Sokol Kleczew	Draw	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rekord Bielsko-Biala (rating 1460 vs 1531).
H2H favours Rekord Bielsko-Biala: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Kleczew	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:57 +9’	2.63	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Kleczew 0–0–2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Poland II Liga	Sokol Kleczew	0-1 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
15/08/25 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	2-1 HT 2-0	Sokol Kleczew

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	3	3	0	0	8	1	9
2	Znicz Pruszków	3	3	0	0	7	2	9
3	Hutnik Krakow	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
4	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
5	GKS Tychy 71	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
6	Slask Wroclaw II	3	2	0	1	8	4	6
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	3	1	2	0	9	4	5
8	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
9	Podhale Nowy Targ	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3	1	1	1	2	4	4
11	Legia Warsaw II	3	1	0	2	6	4	3
12	Stal Stalowa Wola	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
13	Gornik Leczna	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
14	Olimpia Grudziadz	3	0	2	1	4	7	2
15	Sokol Kleczew	3	0	2	1	2	7	2
16	Resovia Rzeszow	3	0	0	3	1	7	0
17	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	0	0	3	1	8	0
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Kleczew	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Lechia Zielona Góra	1-6 L	1-1 D
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1-1 D	3-0 W
LKS Lodz II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2-5 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rekord Bielsko-Biala (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sokol Kleczew

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-2	1-6	9	4	L
05/08	Unia Skierniewice Poland Cup	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
01/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
17/07	Unia Swarzedz Europe Friendlies	3-0	7-1	8	1	W
09/06	Gornik Polkowice Poland League II Play-Offs	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
06/06	Gornik Polkowice Poland League II Play-Offs	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
30/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
23/05	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	2-5	3	5	L
16/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	3	3	L

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

WLWLLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
05/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland Cup	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
02/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	3-0	7	1	W
25/07	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
08/07	Sigma Olomouc B Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
04/07	Polonia Bytom Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
30/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
23/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
09/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
02/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Kleczew vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rekord Bielsko-Biala win (39%). Probabilities: Sokol Kleczew 34%, draw 27%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Kleczew vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Sokol Kleczew 1.3 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.42), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Kleczew vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.