Football · Poland II Liga · 16/08, 19:30
Prediction: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik
Team pages: Stal Stalowa Wola · Avia Swidnik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Stal Stalowa Wola1.57
Avia Swidnik1.33
1X2
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw
Avia Swidnik
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stal Stalowa Wola
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Avia Swidnik
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stal Stalowa Wola
3–3
Avia Swidnik
(6 last)
- Avia Swidnik0-2Stal Stalowa Wola
- Stal Stalowa Wola0-2Avia Swidnik
- Stal Stalowa Wola0-1Avia Swidnik
- Avia Swidnik0-1Stal Stalowa Wola
- Stal Stalowa Wola1-0Avia Swidnik
- Avia Swidnik3-1Stal Stalowa Wola
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stal Stalowa Wola 1507 · Avia Swidnik 1615
| Stal Stalowa Wola | Draw | Avia Swidnik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avia Swidnik (rating 1507 vs 1615).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stal Stalowa Wola | Avia Swidnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.9 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Stalowa Wola 3–0–3 Avia Swidnik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/23 Poland III Liga | Avia Swidnik | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Stal Stalowa Wola |
| 17/09/22 Poland III Liga | Stal Stalowa Wola | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Avia Swidnik |
| 20/11/21 Poland III Liga | Stal Stalowa Wola | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Avia Swidnik |
| 07/08/21 Poland III Liga | Avia Swidnik | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stal Stalowa Wola |
| 06/03/21 Poland III Liga | Stal Stalowa Wola | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Avia Swidnik |
| 15/08/20 Poland III Liga | Avia Swidnik | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Stal Stalowa Wola |
Standings · Poland II Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Znicz Pruszków | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Hutnik Krakow | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | GKS Tychy 71 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gornik Leczna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | Legia Warsaw II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Olimpia Grudziadz | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Sokol Kleczew | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 | Resovia Rzeszow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | OKS Swit Skolwin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stal Stalowa Wola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Slask Wroclaw II Poland Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
Avia Swidnik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Stal Mielec Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stal Stalowa Wola win (42%). Probabilities: Stal Stalowa Wola 42%, draw 27%, Avia Swidnik 31%.
How many goals are expected in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Stal Stalowa Wola 1.57 · Avia Swidnik 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Swidnik?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.