Football · Poland II Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Team pages: Rekord Bielsko-Biala · Stal Stalowa Wola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.15

Stal Stalowa Wola1.07

1X2

37% 29% 33%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala Draw Stal Stalowa Wola

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLWDW

Stal Stalowa Wola 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDDWDWWL

Head-to-head

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1–1–0 Stal Stalowa Wola (2 last)

Stal Stalowa Wola1-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1-0Stal Stalowa Wola

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1527 · Stal Stalowa Wola 1508

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Draw	Stal Stalowa Wola
Our model	36%	32%	32%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Stal Stalowa Wola
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.7	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.25

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +17’	2.35	3.25	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1–1–0 Stal Stalowa Wola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	1-1 HT 1-1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
12/10/25 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-0 HT 1-0	Stal Stalowa Wola

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	GKS Tychy 71	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
2	Znicz Pruszków	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
4	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
5	Hutnik Krakow	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
8	Slask Wroclaw II	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
9	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
10	Gornik Leczna	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
12	Sokol Kleczew	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	Olimpia Grudziadz	2	0	1	1	3	6	1
14	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
15	Legia Warsaw II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	OKS Swit Skolwin	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
17	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
18	Resovia Rzeszow	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Stal Stalowa Wola
Chojniczanka Chojnice	0-2 L	3-3 D
LKS Lodz II	1-0 W	2-0 W
Resovia Rzeszow	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stal Stalowa Wola (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

WDWLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	3-0	7	1	W
25/07	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
08/07	Sigma Olomouc B Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
04/07	Polonia Bytom Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
30/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
23/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
09/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
02/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
24/04	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
18/04	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Stal Stalowa Wola

WLDDDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/07	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
30/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
15/05	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
08/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
30/04	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
24/04	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	10	7	D
18/04	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	3-3	2	4	D
11/04	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
02/04	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rekord Bielsko-Biala win (37%). Probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biala 37%, draw 29%, Stal Stalowa Wola 33%.

How many goals are expected in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.15 · Stal Stalowa Wola 1.07), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.