Prediction: Gornik Leczna vs Avia Swidnik
Team pages: Gornik Leczna · Avia Swidnik
| Gornik Leczna | Draw | Avia Swidnik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avia Swidnik (rating 1437 vs 1591).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gornik Leczna | Avia Swidnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 2.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 3.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Standings · Poland II Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Gornik Leczna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | GKS Tychy 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Znicz Pruszków | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kleczew | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Hutnik Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | OKS Swit Skolwin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Resovia Rzeszow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Legia Warsaw II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Olimpia Grudziadz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gornik Leczna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/07 | Hetman Zamosc Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Dinamo Bucharest Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 01/05 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/04 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
Avia Swidnik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Stal Mielec Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gornik Leczna vs Avia Swidnik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Leczna win (45%). Probabilities: Gornik Leczna 45%, draw 26%, Avia Swidnik 28%.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Leczna vs Avia Swidnik?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Gornik Leczna 1.8 · Avia Swidnik 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gornik Leczna vs Avia Swidnik?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.