Football · Poland II Liga · 14/08, 18:00

Prediction: Gornik Leczna vs Podhale Nowy Targ

Team pages: Gornik Leczna · Podhale Nowy Targ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Gornik Leczna1.47
Podhale Nowy Targ1.42
1X2
37% 27% 35%
Gornik Leczna Draw Podhale Nowy Targ
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gornik Leczna 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWLWL
Podhale Nowy Targ 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLWWWDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gornik Leczna 1435 · Podhale Nowy Targ 1519
Gornik LecznaDrawPodhale Nowy Targ
Our model38%27%35%
Market37%27%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Podhale Nowy Targ (rating 1435 vs 1519).
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gornik LecznaPodhale Nowy Targ
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.91.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.72.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 03.7 / 0.2

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Avia Swidnik 3300 819
2 Znicz Pruszków 3300 729
3 Hutnik Krakow 3210 827
4 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 3210 727
5 GKS Tychy 71 3210 427
6 Slask Wroclaw II 3201 846
7 Lechia Zielona Góra 3120 945
8 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3111 334
9 Podhale Nowy Targ 3111 564
10 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3111 244
11 Legia Warsaw II 3102 643
12 Stal Stalowa Wola 3102 453
13 Gornik Leczna 3102 353
14 Olimpia Grudziadz 3021 472
15 Sokol Kleczew 3021 272
16 Resovia Rzeszow 3003 170
17 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3003 180
18 OKS Swit Skolwin 3003 2110

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gornik Leczna

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-2 87 L
05/08 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland Cup
1-0 2-0 94 W
01/08 Avia Swidnik
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-1 54 L
25/07 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
2-1 3-2 16 W
08/07 Hetman Zamosc
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
04/07 Stal Rzeszow
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-4 41 L
20/06 Dinamo Bucharest
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 73 L
24/05 LKS Lodz
Poland I Liga
1-0 1-3 41 L
16/05 Odra Opole
Poland I Liga
0-1 0-2 84 L
10/05 Polonia Warsaw
Poland I Liga
0-1 1-2 57 L

Podhale Nowy Targ

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
1-2 2-5 49 L
05/08 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland Cup
0-0 2-0 104 W
01/08 Sokol Kleczew
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-1 96 W
18/07 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Europe Friendlies
1-0 4-1 32 W
01/07 Stal Mielec
Europe Friendlies
3-0 5-1 60 W
27/06 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 50 L
30/05 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/05 Warta Poznan
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-2 54 D
17/05 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gornik Leczna vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Leczna win (37%). Probabilities: Gornik Leczna 37%, draw 27%, Podhale Nowy Targ 35%.

How many goals are expected in Gornik Leczna vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Gornik Leczna 1.47 · Podhale Nowy Targ 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gornik Leczna vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.