Football · Poland II Liga · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow

Team pages: Podhale Nowy Targ · Hutnik Krakow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Podhale Nowy Targ1.39

Hutnik Krakow0.97

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Podhale Nowy Targ Draw Hutnik Krakow

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Podhale Nowy Targ 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLWWWD

Hutnik Krakow 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDLDW

Head-to-head

Podhale Nowy Targ 3–1–2 Hutnik Krakow (6 last)

Hutnik Krakow1-0Podhale Nowy Targ
Podhale Nowy Targ1-0Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow0-3Podhale Nowy Targ
Hutnik Krakow0-1Podhale Nowy Targ
Hutnik Krakow1-1Podhale Nowy Targ
Hutnik Krakow3-2Podhale Nowy Targ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podhale Nowy Targ 1541 · Hutnik Krakow 1535

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Draw	Hutnik Krakow
Our model	46%	30%	25%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Podhale Nowy Targ: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Hutnik Krakow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	3.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +7’	1.90	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podhale Nowy Targ 3–1–2 Hutnik Krakow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	1-0 HT 1-0	Podhale Nowy Targ
02/11/25 Poland II Liga	Podhale Nowy Targ	1-0 HT 0-0	Hutnik Krakow
29/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Hutnik Krakow	0-3 HT 0-2	Podhale Nowy Targ
17/07/22 Europe Friendlies	Hutnik Krakow	0-1 HT 0-1	Podhale Nowy Targ
12/02/22 Europe Friendlies	Hutnik Krakow	1-1 HT 1-1	Podhale Nowy Targ
10/07/21 Europe Friendlies	Hutnik Krakow	3-2 HT 1-0	Podhale Nowy Targ

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	GKS Tychy 71	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
2	Znicz Pruszków	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
4	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
5	Hutnik Krakow	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
5	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
8	Slask Wroclaw II	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
9	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
10	Gornik Leczna	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
12	Sokol Kleczew	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	Olimpia Grudziadz	2	0	1	1	3	6	1
14	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
15	Legia Warsaw II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	OKS Swit Skolwin	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
17	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
18	Resovia Rzeszow	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podhale Nowy Targ	Hutnik Krakow
Sokol Kleczew	0-0 D	2-0 W
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	4-1 W	2-0 W
Warta Poznan	2-2 D	0-1 L
Chojniczanka Chojnice	3-2 W	1-1 D
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Podhale Nowy Targ (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Podhale Nowy Targ

DWLDLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	9	6	W
18/07	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-1	3	2	W
01/07	Stal Mielec Europe Friendlies	3-0	5-1	6	0	W
27/06	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
30/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
23/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
17/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
09/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-0	3-2	8	6	W
03/05	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	9	1	D

Hutnik Krakow

WWDLWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-0	3-0	10	6	W
25/07	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
30/05	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
24/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	1	8	D
17/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	13	9	W
03/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
25/04	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
19/04	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-1	4-1	7	3	W
12/04	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podhale Nowy Targ win (46%). Probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 46%, draw 28%, Hutnik Krakow 26%.

How many goals are expected in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Podhale Nowy Targ 1.39 · Hutnik Krakow 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.