Football · Poland II Liga · 31/07, 20:30
Prediction: Stal Stalowa Wola vs GKS Tychy 71
Team pages: Stal Stalowa Wola · GKS Tychy 71
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Stal Stalowa Wola1.21
GKS Tychy 711.36
1X2
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw
GKS Tychy 71
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stal Stalowa Wola
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
GKS Tychy 71
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stal Stalowa Wola
0–2–2
GKS Tychy 71
(4 last)
- Stal Stalowa Wola0-1GKS Tychy 71
- GKS Tychy 710-0Stal Stalowa Wola
- GKS Tychy 712-0Stal Stalowa Wola
- Stal Stalowa Wola1-1GKS Tychy 71
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stal Stalowa Wola 1548 · GKS Tychy 71 1480
| Stal Stalowa Wola | Draw | GKS Tychy 71 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stal Stalowa Wola (rating 1548 vs 1480).
- H2H favours GKS Tychy 71: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stal Stalowa Wola | GKS Tychy 71 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Stalowa Wola 0–2–2 GKS Tychy 71
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/25 Poland I Liga | Stal Stalowa Wola | 0-1 HT 0-0 | GKS Tychy 71 |
| 22/09/24 Poland I Liga | GKS Tychy 71 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stal Stalowa Wola |
| 02/04/16 Poland II Liga | GKS Tychy 71 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Stal Stalowa Wola |
| 05/09/15 Poland II Liga | Stal Stalowa Wola | 1-1 HT 1-1 | GKS Tychy 71 |
Standings · Poland II Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Gornik Leczna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | GKS Tychy 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Znicz Pruszków | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kleczew | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Hutnik Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | OKS Swit Skolwin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Resovia Rzeszow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Legia Warsaw II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Olimpia Grudziadz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stal Stalowa Wola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Warta Poznan Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 02/04 | LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 9 | D |
GKS Tychy 71
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Trinec Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 08/07 | Sparta Katowice Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Odra Opole Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stal Stalowa Wola vs GKS Tychy 71?
According to our model, the most likely result is an GKS Tychy 71 win (40%). Probabilities: Stal Stalowa Wola 32%, draw 28%, GKS Tychy 71 40%.
How many goals are expected in Stal Stalowa Wola vs GKS Tychy 71?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Stal Stalowa Wola 1.21 · GKS Tychy 71 1.36), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs GKS Tychy 71?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.