Football · Lithuania II Lyga · 11/09, 17:00

Prediction: FK Panevezys II vs FK Silute

Team pages: FK Panevezys II · FK Silute

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

FK Panevezys II2.54

FK Silute1.58

1X2

58% 20% 22%

FK Panevezys II Draw FK Silute

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Panevezys II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDDLLLWW

FK Silute 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWLWLL

Head-to-head

FK Panevezys II 0–1–0 FK Silute (1 last)

FK Silute4-4FK Panevezys II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Panevezys II 1496 · FK Silute 1458

	FK Panevezys II	Draw	FK Silute
Our model	58%	20%	22%
Market	58%	20%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Panevezys II	FK Silute
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.2	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.2	2.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.6	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:21 +8’	1.55	4.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Panevezys II 0–1–0 FK Silute

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	4-4 HT 3-1	FK Panevezys II

Standings · Lithuania II Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nevezis	19	14	4	1	46	14	46
2	Vilnius Football Academy	20	14	4	2	67	23	46
3	Suduva Marijampole II	19	12	3	4	42	22	39
4	FK Sirvena	20	10	5	5	41	24	35
5	FM Klaipedos	20	10	2	8	29	25	32
6	FK Sveikata	19	8	6	5	37	27	30
7	FK Panevezys II	19	8	5	6	43	38	29
8	FKS Ukmerge	19	8	3	8	31	27	27
9	Sirijus Klaipeda	19	7	5	7	36	31	26
10	Banga Gargzdai II	20	6	4	10	31	27	22
11	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II	20	6	3	11	35	46	21
12	FK Silute	20	5	4	11	25	47	19
13	Utenis Utena	20	5	4	11	24	47	19
14	DFK Dainava II	20	4	0	16	32	76	12
15	FK Viltis Vilnius	20	3	2	15	25	70	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Panevezys II	FK Silute
Nevezis	1-2 L	1-2 L
Vilnius Football Academy	1-4 L	0-6 L
Utenis Utena	2-2 D	2-0 W
FK Sirvena	2-2 D	1-3 L
FK Viltis Vilnius	6-0 W	3-2 W
Suduva Marijampole II	0-1 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Panevezys II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Panevezys II

LWDDDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
28/08	Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
22/08	FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga	0-2	0-5	7	2	L
07/08	Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
31/07	Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga	0-1	1-4	2	1	L
30/06	Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga	2-1	3-3	4	10	D
22/06	Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga	2-2	2-2	8	3	D
19/06	FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
14/06	FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga	1-0	6-0	7	4	W
10/06	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	13	5	L

FK Silute

WLLDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
28/08	Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga	0-3	0-6	2	2	L
21/08	Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
08/08	FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga	2-1	3-2	10	4	W
01/08	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	0-3	0-6	1	2	L
04/07	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/06	FKS Ukmerge Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
19/06	Sirijus Klaipeda Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/06	DFK Dainava II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Panevezys II vs FK Silute?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Panevezys II win (58%). Probabilities: FK Panevezys II 58%, draw 20%, FK Silute 22%.

How many goals are expected in FK Panevezys II vs FK Silute?

The model expects 4.12 goals (FK Panevezys II 2.54 · FK Silute 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Panevezys II vs FK Silute?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.