Football · Georgia Cup · 25/07, 15:30
Prediction: Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Kolkheti Poti1.59
Aragvi Dusheti1.3
1X2
Kolkheti Poti
Draw
Aragvi Dusheti
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kolkheti Poti
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Aragvi Dusheti
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kolkheti Poti
2–3–1
Aragvi Dusheti
(6 last)
- Aragvi Dusheti2-1Kolkheti Poti
- Kolkheti Poti3-1Aragvi Dusheti
- Kolkheti Poti0-0Aragvi Dusheti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kolkheti Poti 1478 · Aragvi Dusheti 1503
| Kolkheti Poti | Draw | Aragvi Dusheti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kolkheti Poti: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kolkheti Poti | Aragvi Dusheti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3.8 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolkheti Poti 2–3–1 Aragvi Dusheti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Georgia First League | Aragvi Dusheti | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kolkheti Poti |
| 03/04/26 Georgia First League | Kolkheti Poti | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| 15/09/22 Georgia Liga 3 | Kolkheti Poti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| 04/05/22 Georgia Liga 3 | Aragvi Dusheti | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Kolkheti Poti |
| 27/09/21 Georgia Liga 3 | Kolkheti Poti | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| 13/04/21 Georgia Liga 3 | Aragvi Dusheti | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kolkheti Poti |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kolkheti Poti | Aragvi Dusheti |
|---|---|---|
| SFC Shturmi | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| FC Gori | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Samtredia | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| FC Sioni Bolnisi | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Merani Martvili | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Gareji | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Telavi | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Odishi 1919 Zugdidi | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kolkheti Poti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 06/05 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Aragvi Dusheti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FC Zooveti Tbilisi Georgia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 29/05 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Samtredia Georgia First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kolkheti Poti win (43%). Probabilities: Kolkheti Poti 43%, draw 27%, Aragvi Dusheti 30%.
How many goals are expected in Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Kolkheti Poti 1.59 · Aragvi Dusheti 1.3), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.