Football · Georgia Cup · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Iberia 1999
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
FC Margveti 20060.83
FC Iberia 19992.83
1X2
FC Margveti 2006
Draw
FC Iberia 1999
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Margveti 2006
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
FC Iberia 1999
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Margveti 2006 1488 · FC Iberia 1999 1501
| FC Margveti 2006 | Draw | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| Market | 4% | 9% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Margveti 2006 | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Margveti 2006
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | FC Torpedo Kutaisi II Georgia Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Dinamo Tbilisi II Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/06 | FC Gonio Georgia Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 07/05 | FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Gardabani Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
FC Iberia 1999
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/07 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Super Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Iberia 1999?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Iberia 1999 win (83%). Probabilities: FC Margveti 2006 6%, draw 11%, FC Iberia 1999 83%.
How many goals are expected in FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Iberia 1999?
The model expects 3.66 goals (FC Margveti 2006 0.83 · FC Iberia 1999 2.83), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Iberia 1999?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.