Football · Georgia Cup · 25/07, 18:00

Prediction: FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
FC Gori1.38
FC Sioni Bolnisi1.46
1X2
35% 28% 38%
FC Gori Draw FC Sioni Bolnisi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Gori 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWLLLLLDWW
FC Sioni Bolnisi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWLDDWLW
Head-to-head
FC Gori 1–2–0 FC Sioni Bolnisi (3 last)
  • FC Sioni Bolnisi1-1FC Gori
  • FC Gori0-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
  • FC Sioni Bolnisi0-2FC Gori
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gori 1483 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1518
FC GoriDrawFC Sioni Bolnisi
Our model35%27%38%
Market35%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC GoriFC Sioni Bolnisi
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.41.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.81 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/22/67%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.82.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.34.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gori 120 FC Sioni Bolnisi

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/05/26
Georgia First League
FC Sioni Bolnisi1-1
HT 1-0
FC Gori
07/03/26
Georgia First League
FC Gori0-0
HT 0-0
FC Sioni Bolnisi
22/02/21
Europe Friendlies
FC Sioni Bolnisi0-2
HT 0-0
FC Gori

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC GoriFC Sioni Bolnisi
Merani Martvili 2-0 W 2-0 W
Kolkheti Poti 1-1 D 0-0 D
FC Gareji 1-3 L 1-1 D
FC Telavi 0-1 L 1-2 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1-3 L 1-0 W
SFC Shturmi 0-2 L 2-0 W
Aragvi Dusheti 0-1 L 2-3 L
FC Samtredia 2-1 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sioni Bolnisi (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gori

DWLLLLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Mertskhali Ozurgeti
Georgia Cup
3-1 W
22/06 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
0-0 2-0 53 W
17/06 Kolkheti Poti
Georgia First League
0-1 1-1 34 D
13/06 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
1-2 1-3 45 L
30/05 FC Telavi
Georgia First League
0-0 0-1 35 L
24/05 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
0-1 1-3 48 L
20/05 SFC Shturmi
Georgia First League
0-1 0-2 34 L
16/05 Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia First League
0-1 0-1 28 L
10/05 FC Samtredia
Georgia First League
1-0 2-1 74 W
06/05 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
0-1 1-1 35 D

FC Sioni Bolnisi

LDWWLDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 FC Samtredia
Georgia First League
1-1 3-2 34 W
17/06 Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia First League
2-2 2-3 46 L
13/06 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
1-0 2-0 66 W
30/05 Kolkheti Poti
Georgia First League
0-0 0-0 102 D
24/05 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
1-0 1-1 55 D
20/05 FC Telavi
Georgia First League
0-1 1-2 25 L
16/05 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
1-0 1-0 55 W
10/05 SFC Shturmi
Georgia First League
2-0 2-0 82 W
06/05 FC Gori
Georgia First League
1-0 1-1 35 D
02/05 FC Samtredia
Georgia First League
1-1 1-2 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Sioni Bolnisi win (38%). Probabilities: FC Gori 35%, draw 28%, FC Sioni Bolnisi 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model expects 2.84 goals (FC Gori 1.38 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.