Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Cliftonville vs Crusaders
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Cliftonville1.7
Crusaders1.67
1X2
Cliftonville
Draw
Crusaders
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cliftonville
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Crusaders
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cliftonville
4–2
Crusaders
(6 last)
- Crusaders0-1Cliftonville
- Cliftonville5-2Crusaders
- Cliftonville1-2Crusaders
- Crusaders1-2Cliftonville
- Crusaders2-0Cliftonville
- Cliftonville1-0Crusaders
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crusaders (rating 1478 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Cliftonville: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cliftonville | Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 3.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville 4–0–2 Crusaders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cliftonville |
| 21/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Crusaders |
| 26/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Crusaders |
| 01/03/25 Northern Ireland Cup | Crusaders | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville |
| 26/12/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cliftonville |
| 01/11/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Crusaders |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymena Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bangor FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carrick Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cliftonville | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coleraine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crusaders | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dungannon Swifts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Glentoran | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Larne FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Limavady United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Portadown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cliftonville | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Moyola Park | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cliftonville
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Alvechurch UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Warrenpoint Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Moyola Park UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Hibernian Club Friendly List |
1-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
2-4 | 2-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 07/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
Crusaders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dundela UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Newington FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Moyola Park UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Glenavon UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Ballinamallard Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Warrenpoint Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Queen of South UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Premier Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 28/04 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Play-Offs |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cliftonville vs Crusaders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cliftonville win (38%). Probabilities: Cliftonville 38%, draw 25%, Crusaders 37%.
How many goals are expected in Cliftonville vs Crusaders?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Cliftonville 1.7 · Crusaders 1.67), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cliftonville vs Crusaders?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.