Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts
Team pages: Portadown · Dungannon Swifts
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Portadown2.06
Dungannon Swifts1.41
1X2
Portadown
Draw
Dungannon Swifts
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Portadown
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Dungannon Swifts
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portadown
2–1–3
Dungannon Swifts
(6 last)
- Portadown1-0Dungannon Swifts
- Portadown1-2Dungannon Swifts
- Dungannon Swifts4-2Portadown
- Dungannon Swifts1-4Portadown
- Portadown1-1Dungannon Swifts
- Dungannon Swifts2-0Portadown
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portadown (rating 1530 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Dungannon Swifts: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portadown | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portadown 2–1–3 Dungannon Swifts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 07/02/26 Northern Ireland Cup | Portadown | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 20/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 4-2 HT 4-0 | Portadown |
| 16/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Portadown |
| 15/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 19/10/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Portadown |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymena Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bangor FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Larne FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Crusaders | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Portadown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Dungannon Swifts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Linfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portadown | Dungannon Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| HW Welders | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Coleraine | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dungannon Swifts (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portadown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 21/07 | HW Welders UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Coleraine UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Bourneview Mill FC Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Ballyclare Comrades UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
Dungannon Swifts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | HW Welders UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Loughgall UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Annagh United UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/05 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 0-8 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portadown win (52%). Probabilities: Portadown 52%, draw 23%, Dungannon Swifts 25%.
How many goals are expected in Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Portadown 2.06 · Dungannon Swifts 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.