Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd
Team pages: Crusaders · Ballymena Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Crusaders1.51
Ballymena Utd1.41
1X2
Crusaders
Draw
Ballymena Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Crusaders
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Ballymena Utd
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crusaders
3–2–1
Ballymena Utd
(6 last)
- Crusaders3-2Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd2-0Crusaders
- Ballymena Utd2-2Crusaders
- Crusaders1-1Ballymena Utd
- Crusaders3-1Ballymena Utd
- Crusaders1-0Ballymena Utd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymena Utd (rating 1525 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Crusaders: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crusaders | Ballymena Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 2.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders 3–2–1 Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Ballymena Utd |
| 17/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Crusaders |
| 22/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Crusaders |
| 20/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 15/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Ballymena Utd |
| 26/10/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ballymena Utd |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymena Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bangor FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Larne FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Crusaders | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Portadown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Dungannon Swifts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Linfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crusaders | Ballymena Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Moyola Park | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Glenavon | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Annagh United | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ballymena Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crusaders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Dundela UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Newington FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Moyola Park UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Glenavon UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Ballinamallard Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Warrenpoint Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Queen of South UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Premier Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 28/04 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Play-Offs |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Glenavon UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Annagh United UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Carrick Rangers UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Ballyclare Comrades UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Moyola Park UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Strabane Athletic UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crusaders win (39%). Probabilities: Crusaders 39%, draw 27%, Ballymena Utd 34%.
How many goals are expected in Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Crusaders 1.51 · Ballymena Utd 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.