Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Coleraine vs Larne FC
Team pages: Coleraine · Larne FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Coleraine1.89
Larne FC1.15
1X2
Coleraine
Draw
Larne FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Coleraine
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Larne FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coleraine
2–2–2
Larne FC
(6 last)
- Larne FC0-0Coleraine
- Larne FC1-4Coleraine
- Coleraine1-1Larne FC
- Larne FC3-0Coleraine
- Coleraine1-2Larne FC
- Coleraine1-0Larne FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1571 vs 1515).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coleraine | Larne FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleraine 2–2–2 Larne FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 Northern Ireland Charity Shield | Larne FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coleraine |
| 07/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Larne FC | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Coleraine |
| 04/04/26 Northern Ireland Cup | Coleraine | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Larne FC |
| 02/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Larne FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Coleraine |
| 25/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Larne FC |
| 10/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Larne FC |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymena Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bangor FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Larne FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Crusaders | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Portadown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Dungannon Swifts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Linfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coleraine | Larne FC |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 3-1 W | 8-0 W |
| Glentoran | 6-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleraine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/07 | HJK Helsinki UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 23/07 | HJK Helsinki UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Portadown UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Sligo Rovers Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Limavady United UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Charity Shield |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 6-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Larne FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/07 | Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 14/07 | Tre Fiori UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/07 | Tre Fiori UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Charity Shield |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | HW Welders UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Stranraer UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleraine vs Larne FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coleraine win (54%). Probabilities: Coleraine 54%, draw 24%, Larne FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Coleraine vs Larne FC?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Coleraine 1.89 · Larne FC 1.15), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coleraine vs Larne FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.