Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Linfield vs Ballymena Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Linfield1.27
Ballymena Utd1.51
1X2
Linfield
Draw
Ballymena Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Linfield
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Ballymena Utd
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Linfield
4–1–1
Ballymena Utd
(6 last)
- Linfield2-1Ballymena Utd
- Linfield1-0Ballymena Utd
- Linfield2-1Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd1-0Linfield
- Ballymena Utd2-2Linfield
- Linfield2-0Ballymena Utd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymena Utd (rating 1451 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Linfield: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Linfield | Ballymena Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linfield 4–1–1 Ballymena Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 28/01/26 Northern Ireland League Cup | Linfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 25/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 16/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Linfield |
| 07/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Linfield |
| 09/11/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ballymena Utd |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymena Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bangor FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carrick Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cliftonville | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coleraine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crusaders | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dungannon Swifts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Glentoran | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Larne FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Limavady United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Portadown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Limavady United UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Doncaster UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/07 | JK Nomme Kalju UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Aberdeen UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | JK Nomme Kalju UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Kilmarnock UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Ballymena Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Glenavon UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Annagh United UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Carrick Rangers UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Ballyclare Comrades UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Moyola Park UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Strabane Athletic UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linfield vs Ballymena Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ballymena Utd win (42%). Probabilities: Linfield 31%, draw 28%, Ballymena Utd 42%.
How many goals are expected in Linfield vs Ballymena Utd?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Linfield 1.27 · Ballymena Utd 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Linfield vs Ballymena Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.