Football · Austria Cup · 24/07, 19:30
Prediction: FCM Traiskirchen vs SVG Bleiburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
FCM Traiskirchen2.18
SVG Bleiburg0.98
1X2
FCM Traiskirchen
Draw
SVG Bleiburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FCM Traiskirchen
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
SVG Bleiburg
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FCM Traiskirchen 1497 · SVG Bleiburg 1507
| FCM Traiskirchen | Draw | SVG Bleiburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FCM Traiskirchen | SVG Bleiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.8 | 2.9 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FCM Traiskirchen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-3 | 1-5 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/04 | Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/04 | Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
SVG Bleiburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | SK Treibach Austria Amateur Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/06 | SK Treibach Austria Amateur Cup |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | VST Volkermarkt Austria Landesliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FCM Traiskirchen vs SVG Bleiburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FCM Traiskirchen win (64%). Probabilities: FCM Traiskirchen 64%, draw 21%, SVG Bleiburg 15%.
How many goals are expected in FCM Traiskirchen vs SVG Bleiburg?
The model expects 3.16 goals (FCM Traiskirchen 2.18 · SVG Bleiburg 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FCM Traiskirchen vs SVG Bleiburg?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.