Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 02/08, 20:00
Prediction: FK Decic Tuzi vs FK Arsenal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
FK Decic Tuzi1.51
FK Arsenal1
1X2
FK Decic Tuzi
Draw
FK Arsenal
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Decic Tuzi
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
FK Arsenal
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Decic Tuzi
3–1–2
FK Arsenal
(6 last)
- FK Decic Tuzi4-1FK Arsenal
- FK Decic Tuzi1-2FK Arsenal
- FK Arsenal0-1FK Decic Tuzi
- FK Decic Tuzi4-2FK Arsenal
- FK Arsenal1-1FK Decic Tuzi
- FK Arsenal1-0FK Decic Tuzi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Decic Tuzi 1495 · FK Arsenal 1454
| FK Decic Tuzi | Draw | FK Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Decic Tuzi (rating 1495 vs 1454).
- H2H favours FK Decic Tuzi: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Decic Tuzi | FK Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/56/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Decic Tuzi 3–1–2 FK Arsenal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Europe Friendlies | FK Decic Tuzi | 4-1 HT 1-1 | FK Arsenal |
| 20/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Decic Tuzi | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FK Arsenal |
| 21/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Arsenal | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Decic Tuzi |
| 30/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Decic Tuzi | 4-2 HT 2-1 | FK Arsenal |
| 21/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Arsenal | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Decic Tuzi |
| 12/04/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Arsenal | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Decic Tuzi |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Bokelj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Decic Tuzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Jezero | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Mornar Bar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutjeska Niksic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFK Mladost DG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFK Petrovac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Decic Tuzi | FK Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| FK Bokelj | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Sutjeska Niksic | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Decic Tuzi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | FK Liepaja UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 09/07 | FK Liepaja UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | FK Arsenal Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | AF Elbasani Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Vllaznia Shkoder Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
FK Arsenal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Leotar Club Friendly List |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/07 | Zrinjski Mostar Europe Friendlies |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | FK Bokelj Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FK Decic Tuzi Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | OFK Mladost DG Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Buducnost Podgorica Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Decic Tuzi vs FK Arsenal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Decic Tuzi win (47%). Probabilities: FK Decic Tuzi 47%, draw 29%, FK Arsenal 24%.
How many goals are expected in FK Decic Tuzi vs FK Arsenal?
The model expects 2.51 goals (FK Decic Tuzi 1.51 · FK Arsenal 1), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Decic Tuzi vs FK Arsenal?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.