Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 02/08, 20:00

Prediction: Sutjeska Niksic vs Buducnost Podgorica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Sutjeska Niksic1.24

Buducnost Podgorica0.87

1X2

44% 30% 26%

Sutjeska Niksic Draw Buducnost Podgorica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sutjeska Niksic 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLLLL

Buducnost Podgorica 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDWDWLLW

Head-to-head

Sutjeska Niksic 2–4 Buducnost Podgorica (6 last)

Sutjeska Niksic2-0Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica2-1Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic0-2Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica0-1Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic1-3Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica2-0Sutjeska Niksic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutjeska Niksic 1448 · Buducnost Podgorica 1503

	Sutjeska Niksic	Draw	Buducnost Podgorica
Our model	43%	32%	25%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buducnost Podgorica (rating 1448 vs 1503).
H2H favours Buducnost Podgorica: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutjeska Niksic	Buducnost Podgorica
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:27 +5’	2.00	3.10	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutjeska Niksic 2–0–4 Buducnost Podgorica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	2-0 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica
21/02/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	2-1 HT 1-0	Sutjeska Niksic
05/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	0-2 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica
10/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1 HT 0-0	Sutjeska Niksic
11/04/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	1-3 HT 0-1	Buducnost Podgorica
22/02/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	2-0 HT 1-0	Sutjeska Niksic

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bokelj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Buducnost Podgorica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Decic Tuzi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Jezero	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Mornar Bar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sutjeska Niksic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Mladost DG	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Petrovac	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutjeska Niksic	Buducnost Podgorica
FK Mornar Bar	0-1 L	0-0 D
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1-3 L	0-0 D
OFK Mladost DG	1-0 W	0-1 L
FK Decic Tuzi	3-0 W	0-0 D
FK Arsenal	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Buducnost Podgorica (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sutjeska Niksic

DWWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	FC ML Vitebsk UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
15/07	Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
08/07	Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
01/07	FK Sarajevo Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
24/06	FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
23/06	Borac Banja Luka Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
24/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
20/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
16/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
09/05	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Buducnost Podgorica

DLDDWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/07	OFK Beograd Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
07/07	FK Radnicki 1923 Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
04/07	FK Radnik Surdulica Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-3	1	1	L
27/06	FK Arsenal Europe Friendlies	1-1	4-1	3	1	W
24/05	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	1	8	D
20/05	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	5	5	W
16/05	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
02/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
26/04	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutjeska Niksic vs Buducnost Podgorica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutjeska Niksic win (44%). Probabilities: Sutjeska Niksic 44%, draw 30%, Buducnost Podgorica 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sutjeska Niksic vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Sutjeska Niksic 1.24 · Buducnost Podgorica 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutjeska Niksic vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.