Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 02/08, 20:00

Prediction: OFK Petrovac vs FK Bokelj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

OFK Petrovac1.16

FK Bokelj0.68

1X2

47% 31% 22%

OFK Petrovac Draw FK Bokelj

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Petrovac 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWDDDDLL

FK Bokelj 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWDWWW

Head-to-head

OFK Petrovac 4–1–1 FK Bokelj (6 last)

FK Bokelj0-1OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac0-0FK Bokelj
FK Bokelj1-2OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac2-0FK Bokelj
OFK Petrovac0-1FK Bokelj
FK Bokelj0-4OFK Petrovac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Petrovac 1496 · FK Bokelj 1521

	OFK Petrovac	Draw	FK Bokelj
Our model	46%	34%	20%
Market	48%	29%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OFK Petrovac: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Petrovac	FK Bokelj
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.10

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
18:26 +6’	1.85	3.10	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Petrovac 4–1–1 FK Bokelj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	0-1 HT 0-0	OFK Petrovac
10/12/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Bokelj
01/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	1-2 HT 0-0	OFK Petrovac
04/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Bokelj
14/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Bokelj
16/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Bokelj	0-4 HT 0-1	OFK Petrovac

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bokelj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Buducnost Podgorica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Decic Tuzi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Jezero	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Mornar Bar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sutjeska Niksic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Mladost DG	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Petrovac	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Petrovac	FK Bokelj
FK Mornar Bar	0-0 D	0-0 D
Buducnost Podgorica	1-1 D	1-2 L
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1-0 W	1-1 D
FK Decic Tuzi	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Arsenal	1-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

OFK Petrovac

LDLWDDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	FK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
09/07	FK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
01/07	FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
27/06	FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
24/05	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
20/05	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
10/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
02/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
26/04	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-3	4	6	L

FK Bokelj

DLDWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
08/07	FK Arsenal Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	1	2	W
03/06	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Prva Liga Play-Offs	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
29/05	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Prva Liga Play-Offs	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
24/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	9	0	W
20/05	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	1-2	3	5	L
16/05	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
10/05	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-3	1	2	L
26/04	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Petrovac vs FK Bokelj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Petrovac win (47%). Probabilities: OFK Petrovac 47%, draw 31%, FK Bokelj 22%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Petrovac vs FK Bokelj?

The model expects 1.84 goals (OFK Petrovac 1.16 · FK Bokelj 0.68), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Petrovac vs FK Bokelj?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.