Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Lovcen

Team pages: FK Iskra Danilovgrad · FK Lovcen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FK Iskra Danilovgrad1.59

FK Lovcen0.95

1X2

51% 27% 21%

FK Iskra Danilovgrad Draw FK Lovcen

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Iskra Danilovgrad 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWLWDL

FK Lovcen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWLDL

Head-to-head

FK Iskra Danilovgrad 3–3 FK Lovcen (6 last)

FK Iskra Danilovgrad1-0FK Lovcen
FK Lovcen2-0FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Iskra Danilovgrad0-1FK Lovcen
FK Lovcen1-2FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Lovcen3-4FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Iskra Danilovgrad1-2FK Lovcen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1488 · FK Lovcen 1509

	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	Draw	FK Lovcen
Our model	51%	28%	21%
Market	51%	27%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	FK Lovcen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/43/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.5 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.30

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +4’	1.75	3.30	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 3–0–3 FK Lovcen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Lovcen
28/02/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Lovcen	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
12/10/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	0-1	FK Lovcen
23/08/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Lovcen	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
24/05/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Lovcen	3-4	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
06/04/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Lovcen

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Zeta Golubovci	6	3	3	0	9	4	12
2	FK Podgorica	6	2	4	0	10	6	10
3	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
4	FK Budva	6	2	2	2	9	6	8
5	FK Rudar Pljevlja	6	2	2	2	8	10	8
6	FK Kom Podgorica	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
7	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	6	2	1	3	4	6	7
8	FK Lovcen	6	2	1	3	9	14	7
9	FK Grbalj Radanovici	5	1	3	1	4	5	6
10	Berane	6	0	2	4	3	8	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	FK Lovcen
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	0-2 L	3-2 W
FK Podgorica	1-1 D	0-3 L
Berane	1-0 W	3-2 W
FK Rudar Pljevlja	0-1 L	2-4 L
FK Grbalj Radanovici	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Iskra Danilovgrad (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Iskra Danilovgrad

DDWWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
30/08	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
23/08	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
15/08	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	2-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/05	FK Internacional Montenegro Druga Liga	3-1	3-1	3	3	W
16/05	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
10/05	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	1-1	2-2	2	0	D

FK Lovcen

WDWWLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
12/09	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-3	–	–	L
24/05	OFK Igalo Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	4-2	5	2	W
20/05	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
16/05	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
10/05	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	2-1	2-1	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Lovcen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Iskra Danilovgrad win (51%). Probabilities: FK Iskra Danilovgrad 51%, draw 27%, FK Lovcen 21%.

How many goals are expected in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Lovcen?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1.59 · FK Lovcen 0.95), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Lovcen?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.