Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 30/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Rudar Pljevlja vs Berane

Team pages: FK Rudar Pljevlja · Berane

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

FK Rudar Pljevlja1.44

Berane0.99

1X2

47% 28% 25%

FK Rudar Pljevlja Draw Berane

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Rudar Pljevlja 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDDWDL

Berane 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDDLL

Head-to-head

FK Rudar Pljevlja 4–2–0 Berane (6 last)

Berane0-1FK Rudar Pljevlja
FK Rudar Pljevlja0-0Berane
Berane0-2FK Rudar Pljevlja
FK Rudar Pljevlja0-0Berane
Berane0-3FK Rudar Pljevlja
FK Rudar Pljevlja4-1Berane

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Rudar Pljevlja 1518 · Berane 1389

	FK Rudar Pljevlja	Draw	Berane
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Rudar Pljevlja (rating 1518 vs 1389).
H2H favours FK Rudar Pljevlja: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Rudar Pljevlja	Berane
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	0.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.30

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +3’	1.91	3.30	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Rudar Pljevlja 4–2–0 Berane

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	Berane	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Rudar Pljevlja
14/03/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Rudar Pljevlja	0-0 HT 0-0	Berane
01/11/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	Berane	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Rudar Pljevlja
10/09/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Rudar Pljevlja	0-0 HT 0-0	Berane
29/08/18 Montenegro Cup	Berane	0-3	FK Rudar Pljevlja
30/05/15 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Rudar Pljevlja	4-1 HT 2-0	Berane

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Podgorica	8	4	4	0	15	9	16
2	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	8	5	1	2	14	9	16
3	FK Zeta Golubovci	8	4	3	1	12	7	15
4	FK Grbalj Radanovici	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
5	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	8	3	1	4	5	8	10
6	FK Lovcen	8	3	1	4	11	15	10
7	FK Rudar Pljevlja	8	2	3	3	10	14	9
8	FK Budva	8	2	2	4	10	10	8
9	FK Kom Podgorica	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
10	Berane	8	0	2	6	5	14	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Rudar Pljevlja	Berane
FK Grbalj Radanovici	1-3 L	0-3 L
FK Kom Podgorica	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Lovcen	4-2 W	2-3 L
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	2-2 D	0-1 L
FK Podgorica	1-1 D	2-3 L
FK Budva	0-3 L	1-1 D
FK Zeta Golubovci	0-2 L	0-2 L
FK Iskra Danilovgrad	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FK Rudar Pljevlja (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Rudar Pljevlja

WWWLLDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	2-1	4-2	3	3	W
12/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	1-2	2-2	3	5	D
06/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
29/08	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
15/08	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/06	FK Brskovo Montenegro Druga Liga	4-0	5-0	6	4	W
29/05	FK Brskovo Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	2-1	5	2	W

Berane

LLLLLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	1-2	2-3	3	5	L
20/09	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-3	–	–	L
16/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
06/09	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-3	–	–	L
23/08	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
16/08	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
24/05	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
20/05	OFK Igalo Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Rudar Pljevlja vs Berane?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Rudar Pljevlja win (47%). Probabilities: FK Rudar Pljevlja 47%, draw 28%, Berane 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Rudar Pljevlja vs Berane?

The model expects 2.43 goals (FK Rudar Pljevlja 1.44 · Berane 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Rudar Pljevlja vs Berane?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.