Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 30/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Grbalj Radanovici

Team pages: FK Iskra Danilovgrad · FK Grbalj Radanovici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

FK Iskra Danilovgrad1.33

FK Grbalj Radanovici1.29

1X2

36% 29% 34%

FK Iskra Danilovgrad Draw FK Grbalj Radanovici

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Iskra Danilovgrad 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWDLLW

FK Grbalj Radanovici 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLDWW

Head-to-head

FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1–4–1 FK Grbalj Radanovici (6 last)

FK Grbalj Radanovici2-2FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Iskra Danilovgrad5-1FK Grbalj Radanovici
FK Grbalj Radanovici3-1FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Iskra Danilovgrad1-1FK Grbalj Radanovici
FK Grbalj Radanovici1-1FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Iskra Danilovgrad1-1FK Grbalj Radanovici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1490 · FK Grbalj Radanovici 1530

	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	Draw	FK Grbalj Radanovici
Our model	36%	29%	35%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Grbalj Radanovici (rating 1490 vs 1530).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	FK Grbalj Radanovici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +2’	2.50	3.00	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1–4–1 FK Grbalj Radanovici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Grbalj Radanovici	2-2 HT 1-1	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
18/03/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	5-1 HT 1-1	FK Grbalj Radanovici
08/11/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Grbalj Radanovici	3-1 HT 1-1	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
14/09/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Grbalj Radanovici
19/04/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Grbalj Radanovici	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
02/03/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Grbalj Radanovici

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Podgorica	8	4	4	0	15	9	16
2	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	8	5	1	2	14	9	16
3	FK Zeta Golubovci	8	4	3	1	12	7	15
4	FK Grbalj Radanovici	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
5	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	8	3	1	4	5	8	10
6	FK Lovcen	8	3	1	4	11	15	10
7	FK Rudar Pljevlja	8	2	3	3	10	14	9
8	FK Budva	8	2	2	4	10	10	8
9	FK Kom Podgorica	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
10	Berane	8	0	2	6	5	14	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	FK Grbalj Radanovici
FK Kom Podgorica	1-0 W	2-0 W
FK Lovcen	0-2 L	1-1 D
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	0-2 L	0-2 L
FK Podgorica	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Budva	2-1 W	2-1 W
FK Zeta Golubovci	0-1 L	1-1 D
Berane	1-0 W	3-0 W
FK Rudar Pljevlja	0-1 L	3-1 W
FK Internacional	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Grbalj Radanovici (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Iskra Danilovgrad

WWLWLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
16/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
30/08	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
23/08	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
15/08	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	2-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/05	FK Internacional Montenegro Druga Liga	3-1	3-1	3	3	W

FK Grbalj Radanovici

WLWDWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/09	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/08	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
15/08	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	10	5	D
24/05	FK Internacional Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
20/05	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Druga Liga	2-2	2-4	1	4	L
16/05	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Grbalj Radanovici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Iskra Danilovgrad win (36%). Probabilities: FK Iskra Danilovgrad 36%, draw 29%, FK Grbalj Radanovici 34%.

How many goals are expected in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Grbalj Radanovici?

The model expects 2.62 goals (FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1.33 · FK Grbalj Radanovici 1.29), with a 59% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Grbalj Radanovici?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.