Football · Russia Premier League · 25/07, 15:15
Prediction: Akron Tolyatti vs Zenit St Petersburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Akron Tolyatti0.97
Zenit St Petersburg1.67
1X2
Akron Tolyatti
Draw
Zenit St Petersburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Akron Tolyatti
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Zenit St Petersburg
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Akron Tolyatti
1–2–3
Zenit St Petersburg
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1446 vs 1606).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Akron Tolyatti | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.4 | – / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Akron Tolyatti 1–2–3 Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 04/10/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 07/12/24 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 18/10/24 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 02/10/24 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 27/08/24 Russia Cup | Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Akron Tolyatti | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/04 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Super Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Crvena Zvezda Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | Neftchi Fergana Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akron Tolyatti vs Zenit St Petersburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Zenit St Petersburg win (53%). Probabilities: Akron Tolyatti 21%, draw 27%, Zenit St Petersburg 53%.
How many goals are expected in Akron Tolyatti vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Akron Tolyatti 0.97 · Zenit St Petersburg 1.67), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Akron Tolyatti vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.