Football · Russia Premier League · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
Team pages: Spartak Moscow · Zenit St Petersburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Spartak Moscow1.05
Zenit St Petersburg1.17
1X2
Spartak Moscow
Draw
Zenit St Petersburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Moscow
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Zenit St Petersburg
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Moscow
1–3–2
Zenit St Petersburg
(6 last)
- Zenit St Petersburg1-1Spartak Moscow
- Zenit St Petersburg0-0Spartak Moscow
- Zenit St Petersburg2-0Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow2-2Zenit St Petersburg
- Spartak Moscow2-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg3-0Spartak Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1549 vs 1621).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Moscow | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.9 | – / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Moscow 1–3–2 Zenit St Petersburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Russia Super Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 08/04/26 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 14/03/26 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 16/08/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 16/03/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 11/02/25 Club Friendly List | Zenit St Petersburg | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Spartak Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | Rostov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | Dinamo Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fakel Voronezh | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Krylia Sovetov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Moscow | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Rodina Moscow | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Moscow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Zenit St Petersburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 19/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Zenit St Petersburg win (37%). Probabilities: Spartak Moscow 31%, draw 32%, Zenit St Petersburg 37%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Spartak Moscow 1.05 · Zenit St Petersburg 1.17), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.