Football · Russia Premier League · 23/08, 16:30
Prediction: Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krasnodar
Team pages: Dynamo Makhachkala · Krasnodar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Dynamo Makhachkala1.1
Krasnodar1.33
1X2
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw
Krasnodar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dynamo Makhachkala
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Krasnodar
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dynamo Makhachkala
0–1–5
Krasnodar
(6 last)
- Krasnodar2-1Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala0-2Krasnodar
- Krasnodar4-1Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala2-3Krasnodar
- Krasnodar0-0Dynamo Makhachkala
- Krasnodar2-0Dynamo Makhachkala
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1502 vs 1592).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.3 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dynamo Makhachkala 0–1–5 Krasnodar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 18/10/25 Russia Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Krasnodar |
| 27/06/25 Club Friendly List | Krasnodar | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 25/04/25 Russia Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Krasnodar |
| 28/07/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 29/06/24 Club Friendly List | Krasnodar | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Rostov | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Krylia Sovetov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dynamo Makhachkala | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moscow | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Fakel Voronezh | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dynamo Makhachkala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Ural Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Ural Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Psk Dinskaya Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krasnodar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Krasnodar win (41%). Probabilities: Dynamo Makhachkala 29%, draw 30%, Krasnodar 41%.
How many goals are expected in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krasnodar?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Dynamo Makhachkala 1.1 · Krasnodar 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krasnodar?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.