Football · Russia Premier League · 22/08, 14:30
Prediction: Fakel Voronezh vs FC Orenburg
Team pages: Fakel Voronezh · FC Orenburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Fakel Voronezh1.44
FC Orenburg0.97
1X2
Fakel Voronezh
Draw
FC Orenburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fakel Voronezh
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
FC Orenburg
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fakel Voronezh
2–2–2
FC Orenburg
(6 last)
- FC Orenburg1-0Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh1-0FC Orenburg
- Fakel Voronezh0-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg1-2Fakel Voronezh
- FC Orenburg0-0Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh0-1FC Orenburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fakel Voronezh | FC Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fakel Voronezh 2–2–2 FC Orenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 24/08/24 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 31/03/24 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 21/10/23 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 21/09/23 Russia Cup | FC Orenburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 29/08/23 Russia Cup | Fakel Voronezh | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Rostov | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Krylia Sovetov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fakel Voronezh | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Krasnodar | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fakel Voronezh (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fakel Voronezh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/07 | Dinamo Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fakel Voronezh vs FC Orenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fakel Voronezh win (47%). Probabilities: Fakel Voronezh 47%, draw 29%, FC Orenburg 24%.
How many goals are expected in Fakel Voronezh vs FC Orenburg?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Fakel Voronezh 1.44 · FC Orenburg 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fakel Voronezh vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.