Football · Russia Cup · 05/08, 17:30
Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg
Team pages: Spartak Moscow · FC Orenburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Spartak Moscow1.71
FC Orenburg0.62
1X2
Spartak Moscow
Draw
FC Orenburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
FC Orenburg
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Moscow
4–1–1
FC Orenburg
(6 last)
- FC Orenburg0-2Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow1-0FC Orenburg
- Spartak Moscow2-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-0Spartak Moscow
- FC Orenburg0-0Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow3-1FC Orenburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1565 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.3 | – / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Moscow 4–1–1 FC Orenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| 25/10/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 02/03/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 21/07/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 25/05/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 14/03/24 Russia Cup | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FC Orenburg |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Krasnodar | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Rubin Kazan Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/07 | Dinamo Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Moscow win (63%). Probabilities: Spartak Moscow 63%, draw 25%, FC Orenburg 12%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Spartak Moscow 1.71 · FC Orenburg 0.62), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.