Football · Russia Cup · 05/08, 19:45
Prediction: Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Team pages: Zenit St Petersburg · Baltika Kaliningrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Zenit St Petersburg2.16
Baltika Kaliningrad0.58
1X2
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Zenit St Petersburg
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Baltika Kaliningrad
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zenit St Petersburg
4–1–1
Baltika Kaliningrad
(6 last)
- Baltika Kaliningrad0-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg1-0Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad0-0Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg1-2Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-2Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg1-0Baltika Kaliningrad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1630 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zenit St Petersburg | Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6 | – / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zenit St Petersburg 4–1–1 Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 27/02/26 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 14/09/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 06/07/25 Club Friendly List | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 02/06/24 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 07/04/24 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zenit St Petersburg | Baltika Kaliningrad |
|---|---|---|
| Akron Tolyatti | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Super Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Crvena Zvezda Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | Neftchi Fergana Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zenit St Petersburg win (73%). Probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg 73%, draw 19%, Baltika Kaliningrad 8%.
How many goals are expected in Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Zenit St Petersburg 2.16 · Baltika Kaliningrad 0.58), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zenit St Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.