Football · Russia Cup · 05/08, 19:45
Prediction: Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny
Team pages: Krasnodar · FC Akhmat Grozny
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Krasnodar1.92
FC Akhmat Grozny1
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
FC Akhmat Grozny
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
FC Akhmat Grozny
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
4–2
FC Akhmat Grozny
(6 last)
- FC Akhmat Grozny0-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- Krasnodar3-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- Krasnodar1-2FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny3-0Krasnodar
- Krasnodar1-0FC Akhmat Grozny
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1586 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | FC Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.1 | – / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 4–0–2 FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 04/10/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 19/04/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 11/03/25 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 02/10/24 Russia Cup | FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Krasnodar |
| 15/08/24 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krasnodar | FC Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Psk Dinskaya Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Radnik Bijeljina Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/06 | Borac Banja Luka Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (58%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 58%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 18%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Krasnodar 1.92 · FC Akhmat Grozny 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.