Football · Russia Cup · 04/08, 19:45
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
Team pages: Lokomotiv Moscow · CSKA Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Lokomotiv Moscow1.58
CSKA Moscow0.88
1X2
Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw
CSKA Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Moscow
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
CSKA Moscow
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Moscow
2–2–2
CSKA Moscow
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-0CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow3-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow3-0CSKA Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow0-0CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow2-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow2-2CSKA Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Moscow (rating 1526 vs 1477).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv Moscow | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.8 | – / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Moscow 2–2–2 CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/26 Club Friendly List | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 17/05/26 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 18/10/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3-0 HT 2-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 01/10/25 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 30/07/25 Russia Cup | CSKA Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 19/05/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-2 HT 2-0 | CSKA Moscow |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv Moscow | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Moscow | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Krylia Sovetov | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Moscow (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Rodina Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Dinamo Moscow Club Friendly List |
1-4 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Arsenal Tula Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Moscow win (52%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Moscow 52%, draw 28%, CSKA Moscow 20%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Lokomotiv Moscow 1.58 · CSKA Moscow 0.88), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.