Football · Russia Cup · 04/08, 15:15
Prediction: Akron Tolyatti vs Rostov
Team pages: Akron Tolyatti · Rostov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Akron Tolyatti1.34
Rostov1.49
1X2
Akron Tolyatti
Draw
Rostov
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Akron Tolyatti
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Rostov
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Akron Tolyatti
3–2
Rostov
(5 last)
- Akron Tolyatti1-3Rostov
- Rostov0-1Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti2-3Rostov
- Rostov0-1Akron Tolyatti
- Rostov0-2Akron Tolyatti
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rostov (rating 1429 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Akron Tolyatti: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Akron Tolyatti | Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | – / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Akron Tolyatti 3–0–2 Rostov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Rostov |
| 01/11/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 31/03/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Rostov |
| 18/02/25 Club Friendly List | Rostov | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 28/09/24 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Akron Tolyatti |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Akron Tolyatti | Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rostov (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Rostov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akron Tolyatti vs Rostov?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rostov win (40%). Probabilities: Akron Tolyatti 33%, draw 27%, Rostov 40%.
How many goals are expected in Akron Tolyatti vs Rostov?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Akron Tolyatti 1.34 · Rostov 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Akron Tolyatti vs Rostov?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.